SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 530

Source: US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Note:  The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is replaced, cancelled or extended.Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.

Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 530
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
955 PM CDT Sat Oct 23 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southern Iowa
Northeast Kansas
Northern Missouri
Southeast Nebraska

* Effective this Saturday night and Sunday morning from 955 PM
until 500 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include…
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter likely

SUMMARY…Thunderstorms will continue to develop across northeast
Kansas and much of northern Missouri into southeast Nebraska and
southern Iowa late this evening into the overnight. The strongest
storms will be capable of large hail.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from Beatrice NE to 15 miles
east southeast of Kirksville MO. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).


REMEMBER…A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce


AVIATION…A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 50 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector


Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
WW 530 SEVERE TSTM IA KS MO NE 240255Z – 241000Z

LAT…LON 41169675 40889229 39159229 39419675


Watch 530 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.

Note:  Click for Complete Product Text.TornadoesProbability of 2 or more tornadoes

Low (

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 530 Status Reports

Source: US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

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Watch 530 Status Message has not been issued yet.

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SPC Oct 24, 2021 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

Source: US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

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Oct 24, 2021 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sun Oct 24 00:47:25 UTC 2021 (Print Version |   |  )
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table

 Forecast Discussion

SPC AC 240047

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0747 PM CDT Sat Oct 23 2021

Valid 240100Z – 241200Z


Large hail is expected with thunderstorms late tonight across
portions of the central Plains and Lower Missouri Valley region.

…01Z Update…

…Northeast KS/Southeast NE/Far Southwest IA/Northern MO…
Recent surface analysis places a low near DDC, with a warm front
extending east-northeastward from this low across southern KS.
Additionally, area VAD profiles and SPC mesoanalysis continue to
show increasing low-level flow throughout the warm sector to the
south of this warm front. This low-level flow is expected to
continue strengthening as the surface low slowly moves
northeastward. Persistent warm-air advection along this frontal zone
will promote the development of elevated thunderstorms in an arc
from the eastern KS/NE border vicinity eastward across northern MO.
Mid-level lapse rates (sampled well by the 00Z TOP sounding) are
expected to steep enough to support moderate buoyancy and robust
persistent updrafts. Effective bulk shear of 40-50 kt and modest
hodograph curvature within the storm inflow layer will support the
potential for embedded/elevated supercells capable of producing
occasional large hail tonight.

…Far East-Central TX Panhandle/Far Western OK…
Lone supercell in Wheeler and Collingsworth Counties in the far
east-central TX Panhandle may persist for the hour or so before
nocturnal stabilization leads to weakening. Until then, isolated
hail and/or an isolated damaging wind gust may occur.

..Mosier.. 10/24/2021


.html”>Latest Day 2 Outlook/Today’s Outlooks/Forecast Products/Home

US Department of Labor finds Mississippi concrete products manufacturer, distributor ignored safety measures in Drummonds

Source: US Department of Labor

DRUMMONDS, TN – The death of a 67-year-old worker at a Drummonds worksite in April 2021 might have been prevented had their employer not ignored federal workplace requirements, a U.S. Department of Labor Occupational Safety and Health Administration investigation has found.

Investigators determined the employee of Mississippi Limestone Corp., a Friars Point, Mississippi, concrete products manufacturer and distributor, was trying to repair a rock hopper of a mobile concrete plant when he became engulfed in rock. OSHA cited the company for not evaluating the workplace to determine that spaces – such as the rock hopper – were permit-required confined spaces. Investigators also found the company failed to establish a written permit space program for workers, did not provide employees with adequate training and failed to implement an energy control program for workers conducting maintenance on the concrete batch plant.

In addition, OSHA cited Mississippi Limestone Corp. for willfully exposing workers to fall hazards by not installing a stair rail system on the open side of the batch plant. Mississippi Limestone also failed to train and evaluate each powered industrial truck operator, and to remove unsafe vehicles from service as required.

Mississippi Limestone faces $118,200 in proposed penalties.

“Mississippi Limestone’s failure to comply with safety and health requirements exposed workers to life-threatening hazards that led to the loss of a man’s life,” said OSHA Area Director William Cochran in Nashville, Tennessee. “Putting workers’ safety and health in jeopardy should never be an option. OSHA will hold employers accountable and ensure they meet their legal obligation to protect workers on the job.”

In addition to the citations for Mississippi Limestone, OSHA issued a notice to the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers with one serious violation for exposing workers to amputation, asphyxiation and crushing hazards by failing to ensure confined space entry was allowed only through compliance with a permit-required confined space program. A notice for a second serious violation was issued to the Corps for failing to ensure outside personnel were informed of their respective energy control procedures.

Based in Friars Point, Mississippi Limestone Corp. manufactures concrete products and distributes limestone, sand and gravel. The company performs contract-based concrete product manufacturing for the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers to maintain supplies of articulated concrete mattresses, used for erosion control in connection with the Mississippi River Corps of Engineers Channel Improvement program.

Under Executive Order 12196, federal agencies must comply with the same safety and health standards as private sector employers covered under the OSH Act. The federal agency equivalent to a private sector citation is the Notice of Unsafe and Unhealthful Working Conditions, commonly called “the notice.” The OSHA notice is used to inform establishment officials of violations of OSHA standards, alternate standards and 29 Code of Federal Regulations citable program elements. OSHA cannot propose monetary penalties against another federal agency for failure to comply with OSHA standards.

The company has 15 business days from receipt of its citations and penalties to comply, request an informal conference with OSHA’s area director, or contest the findings before the independent Occupational Safety and Health Review Commission.

Under the Occupational Safety and Health Act of 1970, employers are responsible for providing safe and healthful workplaces for their employees. OSHA’s role is to ensure these conditions for America’s workers by setting and enforcing standards, and providing training, education and assistance. Learn more about OSHA.

Share Your #CyberCareerWeek Stories

Source: US Government research organizations

Credit: Shutterstock

#MyCyberJob  #CyberCareerWeek
October 18-23, 2021

Happy Friday and Day 5 of Cybersecurity Career Awareness Week!

The celebration isn’t over yet! It’s not too late to share how you’ve been participating in Cybersecurity Career Awareness Week. Be sure to use hashtags #cybercareerweek and #mycyberjob.

Join in on the social media fun! Here are some examples from the community:

Credit: Minnesota IT Services

Minnesota IT Services shared on Twitter a link to a YouTube video of the state’s CISO speaking about the need for cybersecurity professionals.

Credit: Cyber Security Agency of Singapore

The Cyber Security Agency of Singapore shared a LinkedIn post about an event highlighting stories from the Community in Singapore and Australia

Credit: UWF

 The University of West Florida Center for Cybersecurity shared a quote on Instagram from their Associate Vice President about what drew her to the cybersecurity field.

Credit: CISCI Secure

Cisco Secure shared a Facebook post with a link to their blog on empowering women in cybersecurity.

Still happening! 

Don’t forget the Careers in Cybersecurity Poster Contest!
Entries close November 12, 2021

Calling all K-12 youth! Draw a picture of your idea of a Cybersecurity Superhero that shows how they secure and protect our world. The goal of the poster contest is to engage young people in learning more about careers in cybersecurity through the creation of posters. CyberHeroComics and Fortinet believes that young people know best how to craft messages and the images that will resonate with their peers.

Learn more at: https://www.cyberheroescomics.com/

Information and Updates

Learn more about events and resources in support of
Cybersecurity Career Awareness Week at nist.gov/nice/ccaw.

Cybersecurity Career Awareness Week is led by the National Initiative for Cybersecurity Education at the National Institute of Standards and Technology. 

Watch Out for False Promises About So-Called Alzheimer’s Cures

Source: US Food and Drug Administration


These products are promoted with unapproved claims to prevent, treat or cure Alzhimer’s disease. FDA warns consumers to avoid unproven and potentially unsafe products sold as treatments for Alzheimer’s disease.

Chances are, you know someone with Alzheimer’s disease or a related dementia involving memory loss. That’s due in part to the fact that as our older population grows, so does the number of people facing serious cognitive and related health issues.

Not surprisingly, this demographic change has been accompanied by a growth in the number of marketers who prey on this population, pitching products that make unproven claims that they can prevent, treat, delay, or even cure Alzheimer’s disease.

These purported miracle cures are sold primarily on the Internet. They are often, though not always, falsely labeled as dietary supplements. Regardless of their form, these products fly in the face of true science. What these companies are selling is the false hope that there is an effective treatment or cure.

At best, the products offered by these scam artists will have no effect on the patient; at worst they may pose a danger to a patient who takes them. Not only will they not do what they claim, the ingredients in these products may interact with, and potentially interfere with, essential medications. Furthermore, these products have not been evaluated by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) for safety and effectiveness. These products are a waste of money and may also delay consumers from receiving the necessary care and support for their illness.

Look Out For Unproven Claims about Alzheimer’s Treatments

Remember the saying, “if it seems too good to be true, it probably is?” Unfortunately, when faced with a serious health issue, even the most rational person can be led to believe implausible claims. Indeed, that’s what companies selling fake treatments count on.

One of best ways to protect yourself from fake treatments is to ask whether the claim seems too promising and if it contradicts what you’ve heard from reputable sources about treatments for Alzheimer’s disease. Companies selling unproven Alzheimer’s treatments often include a range of unsupported and expansive claims about the supposed healing powers of their products. These includes statements such as:

  • “You can even reverse mental decline associated with dementia or even Alzheimer’s in just a week;”
  • “Clinically shown to help disease of the brain such as Alzheimer’s and even dementia;”
  • “Supplements are used to cure Alzheimer’s disease;”
  • “can … reduce the risk of Alzheimer’s by half;”
  • “May have a role in preventing the progression of Alzheimer’s;” and
  • “Clinically shown to help disease of the brain such as Alzheimer’s and even dementia.”

Another red flag is that many of the claims made by these companies about the supposedly curative powers of their products are often not limited to Alzheimer’s disease. Consumers should steer clear of products that claim to cure or treat a broad range of unrelated diseases.

How to Protect Yourself

Here are some other ways to protect yourself and others from fake Alzheimer’s treatments:

  • Question any product that also claims to be a “scientific breakthrough.” Companies marketing these products take advantage of people when they are most vulnerable and often looking for a miracle cure.
  • Always check with your doctor or health care professional before buying or using any over-the-counter product, including those labeled as dietary supplements.

A great deal of scientific research is being conducted on Alzheimer’s disease, but at this point, no cure or treatment have been shown to stop or reverse the progression of the disease. Several prescription drugs have been approved by the FDA to treat people who have been diagnosed with Alzheimer’s disease. Most medicines work best for people in the early or middle stages of Alzheimer’s, and can slow down some symptoms, such as memory loss, for a time. But none of these medications stops the disease itself.

Treatment development and FDA-approval requires clinical research and testing to ensure that any new drugs are both effective and safe. For patients interested in accessing investigational drugs, there are legal ways to do so, such as by taking part in clinical trials.

FDA Protects Consumers from Companies Selling Unapproved New Drugs

The FDA takes action against companies marketing unapproved new drugs that claim to prevent, diagnose, treat or cure Alzheimer’s disease and a number of other diseases and health conditions.

The FDA issues warning letters to advise the companies to change or remove claims about their products that render the products misbranded or otherwise illegally marketed, and if the companies don’t comply, the FDA may take further legal action to prevent the products from reaching consumers.

If you know of a product or supplement (other than approved drugs) being advertised or sold as treatment for Alzheimer’s or other diseases, you can report it on FDA’s website.

Smokey Bear – A Short History of the New Mexico Bear Cub

Source: US Global Legal Monitor

Growing up in the southwest in the 1960s and 1970s, I was keenly aware of the dangers of forest fires and remember the images and campaigns headed up by Smokey Bear. I knew that Smokey was based on a real bear cub who had been rescued from a forest fire but I knew nothing else about his history until I recently read an article about Capitan, New Mexico.

According to the U.S. Forest Service website on Smokey, the original Smokey Bear was a fictional bear dreamed up as a symbol in 1944 for the Forest Service’s campaign on forest fire prevention. However, in 1950, his name was bestowed on a bear cub who was rescued from a forest fire in New Mexico.

There were two back-to-back forest fires in early May 1950 in the Capitan Mountains, which are part of the Lincoln National Forest. The first began on May 4th and burned about 1,000 acres before it was brought under control on May 6th. On that same day, however, a second fire, the Capitan Gap fire started and, due to high winds, it quickly raged out of control. On May 9th, firefighters from Taos Pueblo and soldiers from Fort Bliss discovered a tiny North American Black Bear cub who had survived the fire. The soldiers rescued the cub whom they named initially named Hotfoot Teddy. Shortly thereafter they changed his name to Smokey Bear after the fictional character. A New Mexico game warden named Ray Bell realized the cub needed specialized attention and arranged for the cub to be flown to Santa Fe for treatment by veterinarian Dr. Ed Smith.

After recovering, the bear cub was moved to the National Zoo in Washington, D.C.  According to Timeless Heritage: A History of the Forest Service in the Southwest, 1998, the bear was flown to Washington and met by a company of dignitaries, including Senator Chavez of New Mexico.

In 1952, Congress passed a law (ch. 327, 66 Stat. 92) prohibiting the use or manufacture of the character Smokey Bear by unauthorized persons. The law allowed the Secretary of Agriculture to authorize specific persons to use the Smokey Bear character. This law also directed the Secretary to deposit in a special account fees collected from the authorized use of the Smokey Bear character. These fees were to be used “for furthering the nationwide forest-fire prevention campaign.”

In the meantime, as the living representative of the Smokey Bear campaign, the bear was so popular and received so many letters when he lived at the zoo, that he was issued his own zip code. Smokey lived at the zoo for 26 years until he died in 1976. His body was sent back to Capitan, New Mexico, where it is buried. The New Mexico Energy, Mineral and Natural Resources Department now operates a park that houses his body and hosts exhibits focusing on forest health and fire ecology. However, as a symbol, Smokey Bear lives on and in 2019 celebrated his 75th birthday as the symbol of forest fire prevention.

Smokey Bear billboard on Route 40, Baltimore / photograph by Kelly Goles

A final note on the name Smokey Bear versus “Smokey the Bear.” According to the New Mexico Smokey Bear Historic Park website, a “the” was added to Smokey’s name when a song was written about the bear so the lyrics would match the melody.

NEW POLL: NC continues to reject Biden

Source: US National Republican Congressional Committee

The following text contains opinion that is not, or not necessarily, that of MIL-OSI –

A new poll shows only 38% of North Carolinians approve of Joe Biden and 56% disapprove.

This is BAD news for Deborah Ross who supports Biden’s failed leadership and radical agenda.

NRCC Comment: “North Carolinians are already rejecting Joe Biden’s radical agenda and it will doom Deborah Ross in 2022.” –NRCC Spokeswoman Camille Gallo

Interior Announces $4.1 Million to Fight the Brown Tree Snake on Guam

Source: US National Invasive Species Information Center

An additional $1.8 million in FY 2021 funds will be used to counter
other invasive species in the Insular Areas

WASHINGTON – The U.S. Department of the Interior’s Office of Insular Affairs (OIA) has announced $4,095,922 million in Brown Tree Snake Control program fiscal year (FY) 2021 funding as administered through the Technical Assistance Program. An additional amount of $1,791,421 from Coral Reef and Natural Resources FY 2021 funds was also announced earlier this year for the purpose of controlling and mitigating other invasive species in the Insular Areas besides the brown tree snake.

“Islands are particularly vulnerable to invasive species that disrupt natural, long-standing biological processes and threaten our unique, island eco-systems,” said Deputy Assistant Secretary Keone Nakoa. “Each year, OIA provides significant funds to critical efforts seeking to help restore balance.”

The Brown Tree Snake Control program FY 2021 funding was divided among several governments and federal partners to include Guam, the Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands (CNMI), Hawai’i, U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA), and the Department of the Interior as follows:

  • Guam Department of Agriculture for interdiction and control – $100,000
  • Guam Power Authority for BTS Data Collection – $70,389
  • CNMI Department of Lands and Natural Resources for interdiction and control – $407,950
  • Hawaii Department of Agriculture for interdiction and control – $288,706
  • USDA Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service Wildlife Services includes interdiction and control on Guam and Cocos Island – $1,205,590
  • USDA National Wildlife Research Center for research – $649,842
  • U.S. Geological Survey for research – $1,055,522
  • U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service for program coordination – $317,923

Coral Reef and Natural Resources fiscal year 2021 funding awarded to counter other invasive species beyond the Brown Tree Snake:

As announced previously, $1,541,421 in fiscal year 2021 funds was provided under the Coral Reef and Natural Resources to counter invasive species in the Insular Areas.

  • University of Guam for Invasive Species Detector Dog pilot program to include detection of the Coconut Rhinoceros Beetle – $866,423
  • Micronesia Conservation Trust, a regional non-governmental organization, for the eradication, control, and management of invasive species in Kosrae, Chuuk, and Yap – $300,000
  • Island Conservation, a non-profit organization, for the removal of invasive rats in Mili Atoll, Marshall Islands – $299,838
  • CNMI Government for Sabana Pandanus Forest control and native trees restoration project – $75,160

An additional amount of $250,000 in emergency funding was also provided in fiscal year 2021 funding to help the Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands control and mitigate the spread of the Coconut Rhinoceros Beetle on Rota.

For more information about the Brown Tree Snake program watch this OIA Conversation on YouTube with Earl Campbell, Field Supervisor in Honolulu with the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Services. A highlight of this conversation is also available on the podcast: There’s More to Islands … OIA Conversations.

For more information about OIA funds provided to counter invasive species visit: https://www.doi.gov/oia/coral-reef-and-natural-resources-initiative.

The Assistant Secretary of Insular and International Affairs and the Office of Insular Affairs (OIA) carry out the Secretary of the Interior’s responsibilities for the U.S. territories of American Samoa, Guam, the Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands, and the U.S. Virgin Islands. Additionally, OIA administers and oversees federal assistance under the Compacts of Free Association to the Federated States of Micronesia, the Republic of the Marshall Islands, and the Republic of Palau. OIA also administers a discretionary Technical Assistance Program for all the insular areas. Find information about OIA and its work on www.doi.gov/oia, Facebook, Twitter, Instagram, and YouTube.


GALLUP: “Biden Job Approval Steady at Lower Level”

Source: US National Republican Congressional Committee

The following text contains opinion that is not, or not necessarily, that of MIL-OSI –

Another new poll shows Biden’s approval rating continues to tank.

Gallup found“President Joe Biden’s job approval rating is holding steady at 42% after a sharp decline in September. His public support has fallen 14 percentage points since June, including a six-point drop last month.”

Fox News and Politico also released polls this week showing Biden’s approval rating dangerously underwater.

NRCC COMMENT: “The cost of goods continues to soar, the border crisis continues to rage, and the American people know Joe Biden and Democrats are to blame.” – NRCC Spokeswoman Torunn Sinclair