Page 5 – USFedNgin

July 25, 2026

SPC – No MDs are in effect as of Sat Jul 25 06:02:01 UTC 2026

Source: US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Current Mesoscale DiscussionsUpdated: Sat Jul 25 06:03:02 UTC 2026 No Mesoscale Discussions are currently in effect.

Notice: The responsibility for Heavy Rain Mesoscale Discussions has been transferred to the Weather Prediction Center (WPC) on April 9, 2013. Click here for the Service Change Notice.
Archived Convective ProductsTo view convective products for a previous day, type in the date you wish to retrieve (e.g. 20040529 for May 29, 2004). Data available since January 1, 2004.

July 25, 2026

SPC Jul 25, 2026 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

Source: US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

SPC AC 250556

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1256 AM CDT Sat Jul 25 2026

Valid 251200Z – 261200Z

…THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF
CENTRAL MT…AND ALSO ACROSS PARTS OF SD…

…SUMMARY…
Storms with scattered severe wind gusts are possible across parts of
Montana and South Dakota this afternoon and evening.

…MT into SD and vicinity…
An expansive upper ridge will remain anchored over much of the
southwest and central CONUS through the period. Very hot
temperatures are expected this afternoon from MT into the Dakotas.
Isolated to scattered storms within the hot and well-mixed
environment will result in a broad area of at least isolated
severe-wind potential. 5% wind probabilities have been expanded to
cover this potential, with 15% wind probabilities (equivalent to
categorical Level 2/Slight Risk) added across parts of MT and SD,
where terrain features may enhance storm coverage within the
favorable severe-wind environment.

For parts of western/central MT, convection that develops by
early/mid afternoon near the high terrain is expected to spread
eastward into the hot and well-mixed environment. This convection
may be aided by a low-amplitude midlevel vorticity maximum moving
around the periphery of the upper ridge. Increasing storm coverage
and gradually strengthening mid/upper-level flow may allow for one
or more outflow-driven clusters to develop and spread
east-northeastward into early evening, with a threat of severe
gusts. Localized gusts of 75+ mph cannot be ruled out, especially if
deeper convection is able to spread into areas where very deep
mixing and heating to near/above 100 F occurs prior to storm
arrival.

Farther east, very strong heating is expected across parts of
western/central SD, with temperatures in some areas potentially
rising to near/above 105 F. Low-level moisture will be relatively
sparse, but MLCAPE of near/above 1000 J/kg will be possible where
50s F dewpoints can be maintained within the well-mixed environment.
Initial storm development near the Black Hills will quickly become
outflow dominant as it spreads eastward, with an increasing threat
of severe gusts. Deep-layer shear will be somewhat favorable for
organized convection, and some guidance depicts development of a
persistent cluster or loosely organized MCS that moves eastward
across SD along a weak surface boundary. Should this occur, a
corridor of more organized severe-wind threat (with gusts
potentially near/above 75 mph) will be possible.

…Northern/eastern MN into WI and Upper MI…
Conditional severe potential remains evident across parts of the
Upper Midwest, though confidence regarding storm coverage and timing
remains very low within the weakly forced environment. Moderate to
strong destabilization is possible along/south of a surface front
that is forecast to extend from northeast ND into northern MN/WI by
late afternoon. Effective shear of 50+ kt will be more than
sufficient for storm organization, but most guidance remains rather
muted regarding potential for diurnal storm development. If storms
are able to develop during the afternoon or evening, then a threat
for hail, damaging wind, and possibly a tornado could evolve. Even
if diurnal storm development is limited, vigorous elevated storms
may evolve within a warm-advection regime near/north of the front
late tonight, which would pose a threat for hail and perhaps locally
damaging wind. Confidence remains too low to include more than
Level-1/Marginal Risk equivalent probabilities at this time.

…Northeast NV/northern UT into eastern ID…
Storm development is expected during the afternoon across parts of
northeast NV, along the western periphery of the upper ridge. These
storms will spread into adjacent parts of southeast ID and northwest
UT with time. Strong to locally severe gusts will be possible with
these storms as they move northeastward through a well-mixed
environment.

…South-central/southeast AZ…
High-based convection is again expected across southeast AZ during
the afternoon, with initial downburst potential. Modest enhancement
to easterly flow along the southern periphery of the upper ridge may
allow for localized strong to severe gusts to spread westward into
parts of south-central AZ, before convection weakens later Saturday
night.

..Dean/Squitieri.. 07/25/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z

July 25, 2026

SPC Jul 25, 2026 0600 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

Source: US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

SPC AC 250524

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1224 AM CDT Sat Jul 25 2026

Valid 261200Z – 271200Z

…THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE UPPER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO UPPER MIDWEST…

…SUMMARY…
Severe thunderstorms capable of mainly large hail and damaging winds
are possible from the upper Mississippi Valley and Great Lakes into
portions of the mid Missouri Valley on Sunday and Sunday night.

…Synopsis…

A dominant upper high will remain anchored over the central and
southern Plains with an associated ridge extending north into
central Canada. Within the periphery of the ridge, a belt of
enhanced mid-level flow will extend from the Pacific Northwest
through south-central Canada into the Great Lakes and middle OH
Valley. A series of weak mid-level disturbances will translate
through the stream of higher-momentum flow, the most notable of
which is a short-wave trough that will crest the ridge axis over
SK/MB. Modest height falls are expected downstream from that feature
from northern MN into the upper Great Lakes Sunday night/early
Monday.

At the surface, a cool front attending the SK/MB system will advance
through the northern High Plains into the ND-MN Red River Valley. A
weak front will settle south through northern parts of MN and WI
before stalling, while a separate frontal system extends from the
Southeast into the Midwest with another boundary.

…Upper Mississippi Valley and Great Lakes into the Mid Missouri
and Ohio Valleys…
Capping associated with the mid-level ridge and the subtle nature of
mechanisms to sustain forcing for ascent lead to considerable
uncertainty in the location, areal coverage, and intensity of
thunderstorms Sunday into Sunday night. That being said, a few
early-day thunderstorms appear possible across the upper Midwest
within a zone of warm advection and aided by the glancing influence
of a weak disturbance moving through the upper Great Lakes. The
storms would likely be elevated within a plume of moderate
instability and ample vertical shear, suggesting some potential for
large hail and damaging winds.

By afternoon, a reservoir of moderate to strong instability is
forecast across the Midwest with the various models indicating the
potential for diurnally enhanced thunderstorm development at various
locations from the mid MO Valley into lower MI. Confidence in any
one scenario remains low, and as such, a modest expansion of the
level 1/Marginal Risk was made across parts of the OH Valley to
account for the broad range of potential outcomes. Given the degree
of instability and seasonably strong vertical shear, higher severe
weather probabilities and related conditional intensity groups may
become necessary once forecast details become more clear.

As alluded to in the synopsis, stronger forcing for ascent tied to
the approaching Canadian disturbance and surface front may support a
more focused area of thunderstorm development over MN Sunday night.
Subsequent upscale growth into a forward-propagating MCS appears
possible, which would increase the potential for a swath of severe
wind gusts.

…Southeast…
One or multiple weak disturbances aloft are expected to overspread
the region, along with a slight increase in mid/upper-level winds.
In response, a weak surface low may develop across upstate SC, along
a subtle front/confluence zone in the area. Thunderstorms are
expected to increase in coverage and intensity through the afternoon
along the front and developing sea-breeze boundaries within a very
moist and moderately unstable air mass. Steep low-level lapses and
high precipitable water content will enhance downdraft potential
with an associated risk for locally damaging winds.

..Mead.. 07/25/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z

July 25, 2026

116th Mobile Brigade Combat Team, Virginia Army National Guard Media Roundtable Transcript

Source: United States Army

Date: July 24, 2026

Time: 3:30pm EST

Moderator: Lt. Col. Vonnie Wright

Panel Members:

• Col. Arthur Moore, Brigade Commander, 116th MBCT

• Command Sgt. Maj. Benzie Timberlake, Command Sergeant Major, 116th MBCT

• Lt. Col. Jonathan Cochran, Battalion Commander, 1st Battalion, 116th Infantry Regiment

• Lt. Col. Michael Moynahan, Battalion Commander, 1st Battalion, 149th Infantry Regiment

• Major Jason Simulcik, Personnel Officer, 116th MBCT

• Captain Patrick Crute, Lead Planner, 116th MBCT

• First Lieutenant (P) Adam Mayers, Assistant Operations Officer, 116th MBCT

Reporters’ Present:

• Carley Welch, Breaking Defense

• Gina Cavallaro, Association of the United States Army (AUSA)

• John Goheen, National Guard Association of the United States (NGAUS)

• Lisbeth Perez, MeriTalk

• Michael Metz, National Guard Bureau

• Jon Harper, Defense Scoop

COL Arthur Moore: I’m Colonel Arthur Moore, commanding officer of the 116th Mobile Brigade Combat Team. At approximately 3400 soldiers, we are the largest major subordinate command in the Virginia Army National Guard. We’re headquartered in Staunton, Virginia. We have three infantry battalions based in Lynchburg, Virginia, Winchester, Virginia, and Barbourville, Kentucky; a support battalion based in Danville, Virginia; a multi-functional reconnaissance company based in Portsmouth, Virginia; a military intelligence company based in Manassas, Virginia; and a signal company based in Fredericksburg, Virginia. Additionally, we control a combat engineer company infantry headquartered in Fredericksburg, Virginia, and aligned with us for training is a fires battalion headquartered in Norfolk, Virginia.

Before we get started, I just wanted to offer our condolences to our teammates who have made the ultimate sacrifice in the CENTCOM area of operations. Our prayers in the brigade go out to their families and to their units.

So, as mentioned before, we’re here in our nation’s capital to participate in the Army Current Operations Engagement Tour. And we’ve been talking about how we’re building readiness in the National Guard while modernizing. Over the last 18 months, the 116th Normandy Brigade modernized from an Infantry Brigade Combat Team to a Mobile Brigade Combat Team. We were the first of two National Guard brigades to do this. The National Guard plans to transition 25 of its 27 ground combat brigades to Mobile Brigade Combat Teams. That’s approximately half of the Army’s maneuver forces—a massive modernization effort that’s urgent as the Army shifts to a leaner, more lethal, and agile force ready to support the joint force in large-scale combat operations.

By the end of our transition, the brigade will have completed 35 fieldings, including infantry squad vehicles, unmanned aerial systems, counter-unmanned aerial systems, electromagnetic warfare capabilities, and more modern command and control systems to operate in 21st-century warfare. At the same time, we executed domestic operations, trained with foreign partners, completed an Exportable Combat Training Capability rotation at Fort Pickett, Virginia, in June of 2025, and a Combat Training Center rotation at the Joint Readiness Training Center at Fort Polk, Louisiana, in June. We’ve innovated, built readiness, and increased our lethality. Now, in our ready year, we’re ready for any future state or federal mission if called upon.

Today, I’ve brought with me eight teammates here in the room with me: Command Sergeant Major Benzie Timberlake; two infantry battalion commanders, Lieutenant Colonel Jonathan Cochran and Lieutenant Colonel Michael Moynahan, from Virginia and Kentucky respectively; Major Jason Simulcik, our brigade personnel officer; Sergeant Major Donald Spring, our brigade operations sergeant major; Captain Patrick Crute, our brigade lead planner; First Lieutenant (P) Adam Mayers, our brigade assistant operations officer; and Chief Warrant Officer 2 Gisselotte Ventura, our brigade property book officer.

We’re here today prepared to talk to you about what we’ve done to build readiness through our personnel and property transitions, our experimentation, our modernization with global allies, and lastly, how we leverage the Guard’s advantage—our citizen-soldiers with civilian expertise and professional networks—to innovate and modernize.

A few items to highlight: In April, the 116th conducted a multi-domain operations live-fire exercise at Fort Pickett, Virginia. Here, the brigade worked with Army Research Laboratories and industry partners to conduct localized offensive cyber operations to trigger live electromagnetic attack, reconnaissance, maneuver, and counter-unmanned aerial system engagements. And in June, at the Joint Readiness Training Center rotation, the 116th Mobile Brigade Combat Team, along with National Guard units from 18 states and territories, three reserve component units, and foreign partners, stress-tested our formation against a world-class opposing force, experiencing the harsh realities of large-scale combat operations while refining our targeting processes and employing new fielded capabilities. And the 116th leveraged our partnership, including during our JAVELIN rotation, where the Finnish Army completed its first mortar live-fire exercise in the United States at Fort Polk, Louisiana.

So, with that introduction, we’re excited about this opportunity and this question-and-answer period, and we look forward to your questions.

LTC Vonnie Wright: All right, thank you, sir. Um, I will now begin with the first question. Carley Welch from Breaking Defense, do you have a question, ma’am?

Carley Welch (Breaking Defense): Yes, thank you. Um, I am curious what kind of technologies—you know, you mentioned ISVs, and you mentioned drones and counter-drones—is there any particular system that, you know, stood out the most to you and really you felt was enabling you to be kind of the most lethal? And then as a follow-up, you know, were there some things that weren’t working exactly well or could use some more work?

COL Arthur Moore: Well, certainly the infantry squad vehicles expand the battlefield and allow us to cover more objectives faster, catch the enemy off guard, and provide that mobile advantage. The unmanned aerial systems—short, medium, and long-range—certainly give us an advantage in our reconnaissance efforts and our ability to synchronize our kill chain. We’ve also received equipment for counter-unmanned aerial systems, and those systems, you know, we’re still testing and developing. And then, of course, the advanced command and control systems that are so important for us to communicate on a 21st-century battlefield.

LTC Vonnie Wright: Carley, did you have a follow-up, or was that part of your follow-up that you asked?

Carley Welch (Breaking Defense): Yeah, that was part of it. Thank you.

COL Arthur Moore: Absolutely.

LTC Vonnie Wright: Gina from AUSA, did you have a question for the team, ma’am?

Gina Cavallaro (AUSA): Yes, um, thank you for providing this opportunity. Um, there is so much going on in the brigade. Um, I think I’d like to know something about how it’s affecting the soldiers. I know there are some MOS’s that are either coming in or going away, or units that are being deactivated and others that are maybe taking in some of those soldiers. Can you talk about the personnel, how becoming a Mobile Brigade Combat Team has been for the soldiers? And please identify yourself when you answer. Thank you.

MAJ Jason Simulcik: Good afternoon, ma’am. Major Jason Simulcik, brigade S1. First and foremost, proactive personnel management led to increased retention as a matter of messaging early on that the transformation to a Mobile Brigade Combat Team did not mean that soldiers were losing their relevance to the formation, and that they would have a future home in the Virginia National Guard and the Army at large. So, the biggest change was a lot of our 19 Delta soldiers were transitioned over to 11 Bravo, which was supported by enterprise policy that allowed for a smooth transition through the Maneuver Center of Excellence that minimized the training required for that transition and allowed the soldiers to integrate seamlessly into either our infantry battalions or into our newly constructed multi-function reconnaissance company. Likewise, our brigade engineer battalion is being deactivated. However, 12-series opportunities still exist in the Virginia Army National Guard, so we were able to do one of two things with those soldiers, and that was to either integrate them into the newly created combat engineer company infantry or to realign them with other engineer formations across the Virginia National Guard.

Gina Cavallaro (AUSA): Okay, thank you. And as a follow-up, um, you mentioned the multi-functional reconnaissance company. Could someone on the team describe how that company came together and what their function is? How do they operate, and what are their capabilities? Thank you.

LTC Jonathan Cochran: Lieutenant Colonel Jonathan Cochran, I’m the 1st Battalion Commander. The multi-functional reconnaissance company falls under me. So, that company, we took the best of our cavalry squadron and put those personnel in this company. And right now, it has four platoons: it has a kind of traditional infantry scout platoon, an effects or weapons platoon that has small UASs along with some other specialized equipment, an electronic warfare platoon, and then a UAS platoon that will have short, medium, and long-range UASs. And, you know, we task-organize them for the mission. But their primary purpose is to answer battlefield requirements for the brigade commander. And then we’ve task-organized them into hunter-killer elements so that they can find, fix, and finish enemy in the brigade’s deep area, or in the area that’s past what the normal front line is.

LTC Vonnie Wright: Thank you, Gina. Just going to move on to John Goheen from the National Guard Association. Do you have a question, sir?

John Goheen (NGAUS): I do. I look at the makeup of a Mobile Brigade Combat Team, and Colonel Moore, I’m curious, when you went through the exportable exercise to get ready for this particular rotation, you had a very different unit with very different equipment. How much of a challenge was it in a short period of time to get ready, and is this new unit ready for the challenges of JRTC?

COL Arthur Moore: Yes, good question. It is a challenge to make this transition in 18 months. It just required a lot of time and effort from our soldiers, their families, their employers, their communities, our state staff, and really the National Guard Bureau supporting us with extra funding and extra resources. So, while it was a challenge, the soldiers were excited to be on the cutting edge of modernization and really stepped up to the challenge. And we’re proud of them and for all the support that got us through this transition.

LTC Vonnie Wright: And John, did you have a follow-up?

John Goheen (NGAUS): I do have a follow-up. I know JRTC is a place to make mistakes and learn from them, but I would imagine, Colonel, it gave you an opportunity to see the potential of the Mobile Brigade Combat Team. What is the potential of this particular unit on the battlefield of the future?

COL Arthur Moore: Yeah, the experience at the Joint Readiness Training Center really highlighted the potential as we recentralize more capabilities at the division level and allow our brigade combat teams to focus on the tactical fight with the right capabilities, like we mentioned before: the expanded battlefield, the ISR capabilities, more lethal capabilities, electronic warfare, unmanned aerial systems, advanced command and control. I think the potential is there, and especially if we can get the rest of the 25 of 27 National Guard brigades modernized, then we’ll be right there ready to contribute alongside our active component counterparts in the joint fight in large-scale combat operations.

LTC Vonnie Wright: Thank you, John. Lisbeth from MeriTalk, did you have a question for the team, ma’am?

Lisbeth Perez (MeriTalk): Yes, hi. Thank you for putting this together. Um, I know you all touched a little bit on one of the challenges you had. Could you talk a little bit more about lessons learned or other challenges you had along the way?

LTC Vonnie Wright: Could you repeat that, ma’am? I’m sorry about that.

Lisbeth Perez (MeriTalk): Oh, I was just trying to get a little bit of insight on maybe some other challenges you guys had along the way.

COL Arthur Moore: I mean, anytime that you’re deactivating units, activating new units, re-stationing units, and soldiers moving to new formations as older formations become less relevant and newer formations take on more relevance, you know, there’s going to be some challenges with that. And we’ve had to just exercise the change management, put soldiers first, giving them the opportunities, and make sure that they know that the Army still has opportunities for them. You know, no soldier is losing their job through this modernization. Everyone has opportunities to continue to serve and contribute to the joint force.

LTC Vonnie Wright: Hi Lisbeth, did you have a follow-up to that, ma’am?

Lisbeth Perez (MeriTalk): No, no follow-ups. Thank you.

LTC Vonnie Wright: Thank you. Michael Metz from the National Guard, do you have a question, sir?

Michael Metz (National Guard): No, sir. I’m just here to learn some more. Thank you.

LTC Vonnie Wright: All right. John Harper from Defense Scoop, did you have a question, sir?

Jon Harper (Defense Scoop): Uh, yes, thank you. Um, I was wondering if you could talk a more about the advanced C2 capabilities that you mentioned, maybe give some specific examples of what those are and kind of how you use those in the recent exercises.

COL Arthur Moore: Yeah, one of the things we’re trying to do is use new technology to improve our ability to improve our common operating picture and our common intelligence picture. And that’s getting digital systems to lower levels, down to platoons and companies, and just improve the way that different command posts communicate with each other, from the company command posts to the battalion command posts to the brigade, and then from the brigade to the division. And it’s all about improving situational awareness, improving and lowering the speed of the kill chain, being able to identify the enemy and get effects on target as quickly as possible.

LTC Vonnie Wright: All right, John, did you have a follow-up for that, sir?

Jon Harper (Defense Scoop): Uh, yes. Um, I was wondering, you know, you mentioned the UAS that you’ve been using, and I was wondering if those are all ISR drones or if, you know, some of them are kind of the one-way attack drones or, you know, lethal loitering munition type weapons.

COL Arthur Moore: Yeah, that’s a good question. All of the above. We’re fielding and experimenting with all of those.

Jon Harper (Defense Scoop): Are there sort of specific systems that you’re able to talk about, you know, the sort of brand or manufacturer or anything like that, just, you know, like the names of some of the systems, just for examples?

1LT (P) Adam Mayers: Yeah, hey, absolutely, sir. This is Lieutenant Adam Mayers, the brigade assistant operations officer. So, for short-range reconnaissance, we’re using a combination of two Teal platforms: the Teal Black Widow and the Teal 2. We use these down at the platoon level, including platoons in our sustainment formations as well, not just our maneuver formations. Then our multi-functional reconnaissance company employs Anduril Ghost Xs with the Lattice OS, as well as Performance Drone Works C100s. And then, of course, in an environment where we’re rapidly fielding equipment, trying to be faster than our pacing threats, some things aren’t going to make it in time. So, our long-range reconnaissance platform, we actually partnered with industry for a contractor-owned, contractor-operated service contract for a Redwire VXE-30 or Block 30 that we used at the Joint Readiness Training Center to provide brigade-level ISR and answer really important information requirements for the brigade commander. And then Switchblades—we’re using the AeroVironment Switchblade. We’ve had an opportunity to live-fire four of those rounds and really work with loitering munitions and understand what the limitations and capabilities there are. And then we’re looking forward to first-person view drone fieldings from a lot of different funding sources and programs in the Army. And we just stood up a 3D printing lab at Fort Pickett, Virginia, to fabricate our own FPV drones.

Jon Harper (Defense Scoop): Great, thank you.

LTC Vonnie Wright: All right, um, before I go back around and see if there are any follow-ups, I just wanted to mention that while this unit was modernizing, at the same time they still had national and federal missions to take care of. They were also citizen-soldiers, so there is also a special citizen-soldier effect that only they know and they have because they do work with different industries and they have some technical expertise. So, if anyone around the room wanted to magnify and give the reporters just a little bit of a lens on what makes your citizen-soldiers a little bit more special and how that gave you a modernization advantage against some of us active soldier guys, is there anyone that could speak to that a little bit about the special expertise of the civilian workers you have and how they were able to effectively modernize and how it was a little bit different?

1LT (P) Adam Mayers: Yeah, hey, this is Lieutenant Adam Mayers again. I’d love to start this one and then hand it off to some of the battalion commanders and NCOs in the room with us here. In April, Colonel Moore mentioned that we did a multi-domain operations live-fire exercise. That multi-domain word gets thrown around a lot in modernization, but we were the first Guard unit to actually be able to use some civilian expertise in both intelligence collection and information technology. So, as an example, we had a soldier at our multi-domain live-fire with our MFRC, but on the brigade staff, who was able to leverage his experience as a penetration tester from Microsoft. And what he was able to do was localized offensive cyber operations on what we had designed as an enemy network. And what he did was he used some Linux tools to capture the password of that network, log on to that network, and start shutting off ATAK devices we had put on that network kind of playing bad guy. And what that does is it herded the communications from digital to voice, where our soldiers with some of that intelligence collection and IP background in the MFRC were then able to use our new electromagnetic warfare systems—our Terrestrial Layer System Manpack (TLS Manpack)—to engage in some pretty cool training that then enabled some reconnaissance and maneuver formations to use drones and actually conduct a live-fire exercise. And then throughout all of this, we were able to adjudicate or replicate some joint and division effects using a soldier we’ve got that works for the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency, kind of giving our MFRC and our brigade staff a sense of multi-domain operations where there are a lot of contiguous and non-contiguous fights happening everywhere from space down to land, sea, air, understanding we might not always have an opportunity to exploit gains or conduct maneuver, but here are the conditions in which we would be able to when joint effects are happening, when cyber effects are happening. And the Army’s got a lot of great programs going on for that, but it was our unique civilian experience that enabled us to figure that out, and thankfully we figured that out before we went to the Joint Readiness Training Center. That’s all I’ve got. Anybody in the room, any leaders have any examples?

MAJ Jason Simulcik: I’ll just piggyback on that a little bit. Again, Major Simulcik, brigade S1. What we’re really talking about here is the concept of the Guard’s advantage. The National Guard is enhancing Army innovation and modernization by leveraging the unique civilian technical expertise, professional networks, and diverse backgrounds of its dual-status soldiers. What this does is that the civilian careers in technology, intelligence, logistics, emergency management, and industry help bridge commercial innovation into military capability.

LTC Vonnie Wright: All right, thank you for that. Carley, did you have another question that you might want to ask?

Carley Welch (Breaking Defense): Yeah, just following up on the specific systems that were used. You all talked about, you know, the Black Widow, the Ghost X, the AV Switchblade. Was there anything that, you know, you all tried for the first time that you specifically thought, ‘Oh, this is a great system, like we could really use this,’ and then on the flip side, something that perhaps you didn’t see as useful?

LTC Michael Moynahan: This is Lieutenant Colonel Michael Moynahan with the 1-149th. So, speaking specifically for the Teal model Black Widow, my battalion was fielded 19 of those systems previous to the Joint Readiness Training exercise. Got to use those. It really gave us an enhanced capability we did not have, specifically with reconnaissance. So, putting the sensors out in front of our formations, allowing us to see what the enemy threat would be 3 and 4 kilometers in front of the front line of troops. That was something that we had not really been able to do prior to the Joint Readiness Training exercise. In addition, the capability of being able to call for fire—so fire our mortar systems—using that UAS to lase targets and then call for fire with our battalion mortars and, in some cases, our company mortar systems, really, again, another increased asset that we did not have prior to transformation. And so that was a big win for us down at JRTC.

LTC Vonnie Wright: Carley, did you have a follow-up to that?

Carley Welch (Breaking Defense): Yeah, just a quick one, and I don’t know if you all can speak to this, but, you know, given that the 116th was the first MBCT to, you know, take part in transformation in contact, I’m just kind of curious why the 116th was the first. You know, is there any kind of outstanding qualities that the greater Army saw that, you know, really wanted to outfit this team out of all of them?

CSM Benzie Timberlake: So, I’ll start this one off. I’m Command Sergeant Major Benzie Timberlake. And first and foremost, I believe we were chosen for this because we are the best brigade in the United States Army National Guard. Anyone else wants to follow up on there?

COL Arthur Moore: No, I think that, you know, selecting units for modernization and the timelines, we’re balancing timing, real-world missions, and our brigade was postured well with an XCTC rotation followed by a JRTC rotation the following summer that really allows us to field the equipment and test it in those environments, and then really put us in a position where we can translate those lessons learned to the brigades that will follow us so that the brigades modernizing behind us can learn our lessons and build on our lessons learned and have a smoother process.

Carley Welch (Breaking Defense): Okay, thank you.

LTC Vonnie Wright: Gina from AUSA, did you have another question you wanted to ask based off of the dialogue, ma’am?

Gina Cavallaro (AUSA): Yes, um, thank you. A couple of things. Maybe Colonel Moore and whoever else on the team. How, over the 18 months when you were building up your capabilities as a mobile team, how often did you consult with or work with commanders of other brigades in the active duty component that had also made that transition? And my follow-up is, could you tell me what’s next for your brigade? How are you going to remain ready, and when do you have your next collective training event? Thank you.

LTC Michael Moynahan: This is Lieutenant Colonel Michael Moynahan. So, speaking specifically for the battalion in Kentucky, we’ve got habitual relationships with the 101st Airborne Division there in Kentucky at Fort Campbell. And so, as soon as we knew we were going to be going through the transformation process, we knew we had a second brigade from the 101st that was also had been through transformation. So, we made contact with them, started to share lessons learned, you know, things that were working for them that we could apply as we began to receive equipment and go through some of the transformation initiatives. So, that was a good source of information, and they’re right there close to us in state.

LTC Jonathan Cochran: And this is Lieutenant Colonel Jonathan Cochran. Um, so the Joint Readiness Training Center, it’s not a surprise test. We don’t just arrive there and don’t know what we’re about to see. The team there did a really good job in prepping us for the fight that we were at. So, they sent us lessons learned, they sent us techniques and procedures from the former brigades on how they configured their ISVs, how they loaded their soldiers and their equipment on it, so that we were kind of starting, you know, one foot forward as soon as we got to Fort Polk.

COL Arthur Moore: And then I’ll just close that with, yeah, at the brigade level, we all brigade commanders work together through this modernization. You know, I worked closely with Dave Womack, 25th Infantry Division, Josh Kozlov, 10th Mountain Division, to learn the lessons that they learned and get different equipment that they were purchasing and experimenting with and how that might enhance our journey.

Gina Cavallaro (AUSA): Okay, and Colonel Moore, what’s coming up for the brigade in the coming year? Thank you.

COL Arthur Moore: Yeah, we just completed our high state of readiness coming out of the Joint Readiness Training Center. We’re ready for any federal or state mission that the Army might ask of us. And then it’s just refining all those lessons learned from the Joint Readiness Training Center with regard to improving our performance and our capabilities across all of the warfighting functions: maneuver, intelligence, command and control, fires, sustainment, protection. We’ll have, you know, continued drill weekends and annual trainings that test and train those capabilities. And then we still have some additional fieldings as well, as mentioned: the long-range reconnaissance drone that we did a contractor-owned, contractor-operated effort there at the Joint Readiness Training Center. We’ll get those long-range reconnaissance drones fielded this month, as well as more advanced command and control systems, and then continuing to conduct live-fire exercises at Fort Pickett and take advantage of opportunities to train with our foreign partners in both Virginia and Kentucky.

Gina Cavallaro (AUSA): Great, thank you very much.

LTC Vonnie Wright: John Goheen from the National Guard Association, did you have another question, sir?

John Goheen (NGAUS): I do, and this is for the battalion commanders. I know you had the ISVs for a few months now. What surprised you about the troops’ use of the ISVs? What did you learn about the ISV as your source of mobility in the fight?

LTC Jonathan Cochran: Lieutenant Colonel Jonathan Cochran here. So, we were actually really surprised on how quickly the soldiers took to them. Everyone says it’s the frame of a Chevy Colorado, and that’s truly it. And these are some extremely capable trucks because they have a lot of power and they’re light. So, we’re able to take them places that we could have never imagined taking a Humvee. They definitely increased our mobility significantly. What used to take an entire day to move my battalion, I can now do in 2 to 3 hours, and my soldiers arrive ready to fight. It greatly increased our operational flexibility across the battlefield.

LTC Michael Moynahan: Yeah, this is Colonel Moynahan. I would just add to that, certainly it increased operational reach. Soldiers are taking to them really well. They understand what this vehicle is supposed to be. And so, what we’ve kind of learned is it can carry a lot of sustainment to the fight that we would not otherwise have. And so, another capability that we kind of learned throughout JRTC is it can be a non-standard CASEVAC vehicle. So, again, it gives you increased capability there for moving casualties back to your Role 1 and your Role 2 to increase survivability. So, it’s just a really simple vehicle to figure out how to drive, and it doesn’t get stuck very often, as we’ve tested down at the Joint Readiness Training Center.

John Goheen (NGAUS): As a follow-up, this is to both battalion commanders. I know at JRTC, as well as NTC, after every engagement there’s an AAR, and you get a chance to talk to the opposing force. What did they share with you that’s insightful that will help you in terms of your training plans for the future?

LTC Jonathan Cochran: I think what was significant for that was just our ability to see further than what our traditional scouts could see. So, this was less with the ISVs and more really using our different UAS systems. Traditionally, the scouts go out, and, you know, the OPFOR scouts are usually a little bit better than ours because they live there. But our UASs actually gave us a pretty decisive advantage, being able to project out 2 to 3 kilometers, find the enemy, and then call for fire, call for mortars on them, which really allowed us to keep momentum as we moved across the battlefield.

LTC Michael Moynahan: This is Colonel Moynahan. I would just add, I think it increased our ability to be flexible and move quicker. So, the, you know, one of the comments made is, you know, when you don’t have the ISV, you’re only moving as quick as your dismounted formation. So, the ISV gives you the ability to flex across the battlefield as you see the enemy situation develop and maneuver quicker to take advantage.

John Goheen (NGAUS): Thank you.

LTC Vonnie Wright: Lisbeth from MeriTalk, did you have another question, ma’am?

Lisbeth Perez (MeriTalk): No, no more questions. Thanks.

LTC Vonnie Wright: Thank you.

LTC Vonnie Wright: John Harper from Defense Scoop, did you have a question?

Jon Harper (Defense Scoop): Uh, yes. I was wondering if you could talk a little bit more about some of the specific counter-UAS systems that you’ve been using, and, you know, which ones you’ve found to be the most effective.

1LT (P) Adam Mayers: Hey, yes, sir. This is Lieutenant Adam Mayers again. So, specific systems that we were fielded and got some experience on at the Joint Readiness Training Center: the Smart Shooter SMASH, as well as the MyDefence Pitbull and Wingman—that’s a soldier-worn UAS detection and jamming system. And then down at JRTC, there are a number of training equipment sets that we can fall in on and use, and we did: Dronebusters, Stingers, and then we were even able to use our Mastodon TLS Manpacks—that’s the Terrestrial Layer System Manpack—to do some drone detection.

And I think where we’re really seeing a lot of success is in those electromagnetic warfare systems, where we know, and soldiers know, or a command post knows, that a drone is coming before they ever have to see or hear it. And that’s what’s really important for this protection bubble that we are trying to create as an MBCT to maneuver these very dismounted and survivable sensors and shooters across the battle space against a pacing threat, is knowing that something is coming before we ever have to see it, or hear it, or shoot it down kinetically. Just affecting its ability to fly at all, I think, is where we’re seeing the most success. That’s my perspective. We’ve got a number of NCOs and great leaders in the room who can speak to what their soldiers saw as well.

John Harper (Defense Scoop): John, did you have a follow-up to that?

Jon Harper (Defense Scoop): Which of those systems that you mentioned would you expect to be organic to your unit, you know, if you were deployed overseas? I know you kind of just, you know, recently experimented with those at that rotation, but I was wondering which systems, you know, you would kind of expect at this point, if you did get deployed overseas, to be able to take with you.

COL Arthur Moore: Yeah, I think it’s all mission-dependent. You know, different missions will require different capabilities, and certainly depending on, you know, where units are deployed, they may receive more equipment than what we tested.

Jon Harper (Defense Scoop): Right, thank you.

LTC Vonnie Wright: All right, team. We’re just about running out of time. I was going to allow the brigade commander to close us out. Is there anything you want to impress upon the team here, sir, as a closing statement that you’d like to have, sir?

COL Arthur Moore: Yes, just thanks everybody for participating. We really appreciate you engaging with us and your interest in Army modernization and our experience here at the 116th. And so, it’s been a pleasure, and thank you for the thoughtful questions, and look forward to any follow-up that you might have.

LTC Vonnie Wright: All right, team. All the media on the line, appreciate you for coming. Thanks a lot. If, of course, you have any other follow-up questions or queries, please feel free to reach out to me or ACOO as a whole, and I look forward to hearing from you again soon. Thanks so much for coming. I appreciate it.

July 25, 2026

BAXTER ISSUES VOLUNTARY NATIONWIDE RECALL OF CEFAZOLIN IN DEXTROSE INJECTION, USP, 2G / 100ML (20MG / ML) SINGLE-DOSE INFUSION BAG IN 100ML DUE TO PARTICULATE MATTER FOUND IN SOLUTION

Source: US Department of Health and Human Services – 3

Summary

Company Announcement Date:
July 24, 2026
FDA Publish Date:
July 24, 2026
Product Type:
Drugs
Reason for Announcement:

Recall Reason Description
Particulate matter (cardboard) found in the solution.

Company Name:
Baxter International Inc.
Brand Name:

Brand Name(s)
Baxter

Product Description:

Product Description
Cefazolin in Dextrose Injection

Company Announcement
July 24, 2026 – DEERFIELD, Ill., Baxter International Inc. (NYSE:BAX) is voluntarily recalling Lot LD175708, Exp 14-Feb 2027 of Cefazolin in Dextrose Injection due to a report of particulate matter found in the solution identified as cardboard.
Risk Statement: The use of the defective product has a reasonable probability of causing pulmonary emboli (blockage in pulmonary blood vessels), occlusions of other blood vessels (which can lead to tissue death and possible organ damage), and/or phlebitis (inflammation of the walls of veins, which may lead to clotting). Systemically, foreign particles infused intravenously can cause systemic activation of the immune system, organ dysfunction, and hemolysis (breakdown of blood cells). To date, Baxter has not received any reports of adverse events related to this issue.
Affected Product:This product is used intravenously to treat bacterial infections or prevent them during surgery

Product Code
Product Description
Lot Number
Expiration Date
NDC Number

2G3508
Cefazolin in Dextrose Injection, USP, 2g / 100mL (20mg / mL) Single-Dose Infusion Bag in 100mL GALAXY Plastic Container, Frozen Premix
LD175708
14-Feb-2027
0338-3508-41

The affected lots can be identified by locating the lot number and expiration date on the front of the product package and the label attached to the carton, as shown in the images below.
The impacted product was distributed from 3/25/2025 to 6/30/2025 in the United States.
Customers should immediately discontinue use of and return all affected units in accordance with their facility’s process. Baxter is contacting customers with instructions on how to identify and return the impacted product.
For general questions regarding this communication, please contact Baxter Healthcare Center for Service at 888-229-0001 between the hours of 7:00 am and 6:00 pm Central Time, Monday through Friday.
Adverse reactions or quality problems experienced with the use of this product may be reported to the FDA’s MedWatch Adverse Event Reporting program either online, by regular mail or by fax.

The United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has been notified of this action.

Company Contact Information

Consumers:
(888) 229-0001

Product Photos

Content current as of:
07/24/2026

Regulated Product(s)

Follow FDA

July 25, 2026

ICE HSI dismantles ‘SIM farms’ in nationwide cyber fraud crackdown

Source: US Immigration and Customs Enforcement

WASHINGTON — ICE Homeland Security Investigations executed a nationwide operation targeting illegal SIM box operations run by transnational criminal organizations between June 22 and July 10. The mission, dubbed Operation Signal Break, dismantled critical command-and-control infrastructure used to perpetrate large-scale telecommunications fraud across the United States.   

Led by the DHS Cyber Crimes Center with significant assistance from HSI Los Angeles, Operation Signal Break mobilized specialized “SIM Box Surge Teams” of special agents, criminal analysts and computer forensics analysts to high-risk areas in California, Florida, Texas, Massachusetts, New York and New Jersey. The coordinated effort involved more than 11 HSI field offices.

Operation Signal Break is the latest initiative targeting illegal SIM box operations across the United States. Since 2024, HSI has executed over 116 federal criminal search warrants, seizing more than 500,000 SIM cards, over 1,900 SIM boxes, and more than $700,000 in illicit proceeds. HSI’s investigations have led to one criminal arrest, 11 administrative arrests, and the disruption of 68 SIM farms in 15 states used to facilitate fraudulent texts and calls. These actions were often coordinated across regions to prevent criminal organizations from reconfiguring their infrastructure to evade law enforcement.

“I commend our special agents for their outstanding dedication and teamwork in dismantling illicit telecommunications infrastructure. Their relentless pursuit of justice and commitment to protecting the integrity of our communications networks have made our communities safer and sends a clear message to those seeking to exploit our systems to defraud Americans,” said HSI acting Executive Associate Director John Condon. “This success is a testament to the skill and determination of our HSI team.”

SIM farms are collections of devices — known as SIM boxes — that house hundreds or thousands of cellphone SIM cards. These devices enable criminals to route massive volumes of calls and text messages over the internet, disguising the origin of communications and facilitating illegal activities such as scam calls, phishing texts and fraud schemes. These operations cost Americans an estimated $15 million each year, according to the Federal Trade Commission.

HSI Los Angeles, in partnership with the Counter Threat Finance Unit and the Cross Border Financial Crimes Center, will analyze seized SIM data and network artifacts to identify victims, quantify fraud losses, and trace illicit proceeds linked to Chinese transnational criminal organizations and their distribution networks. These results will support further criminal indictments, asset seizures, and sanctions targeting domestic and overseas infrastructure.

Operation Signal Break included HSI Los Angeles, HSI Miami, HSI Tampa, HSI New England, HSI Houston and additional offices nationwide. Significant assistance for this operation was provided by the U.S. Attorney’s office for the Central District of California.

HSI urges the public to remain vigilant against scam calls and texts. Suspicious activity can be reported to the ICE Tip Line at 866-357-2423 or online at ICE Tip Form.

The DHS Cyber Crimes Center supports HSI’s mission through coordination of cyber-related criminal investigations and provides forensic, intelligence and investigative support across all HSI program areas, targeting cross-border cybercrime within HSI’s jurisdiction.

July 25, 2026

SPC Tornado Watch 511

Source: US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Note: The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is replaced, cancelled or extended.Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
SEL1

URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 511
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
330 PM CDT Fri Jul 24 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northern Minnesota
Eastern North Dakota

* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 330 PM until
1100 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include…
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3.5
inches in diameter likely

SUMMARY…Scattered severe thunderstorms are forecast to develop and
intensify this afternoon into the evening across the Watch area. A
few of the more intense storms will likely become supercellular and
have an accompanying risk for very large hail, severe gusts, and
pose a threat for a couple of tornadoes. A severe cluster of
thunderstorms may eventually evolve later this evening with a
continued risk for large hail and severe gusts with this activity.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 105 statute miles
east and west of a line from 10 miles west northwest of Warroad MN
to 15 miles east of Detroit Lakes MN. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

REMEMBER…A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

AVIATION…Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 3.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 30045.

…Smith

SEL1

URGENT – IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 511
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
330 PM CDT Fri Jul 24 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northern Minnesota
Eastern North Dakota

* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 330 PM until
1100 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

…Smith

Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 511 TORNADO MN ND 242030Z – 250400Z
AXIS..105 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
10WNW RRT/WARROAD MN/ – 15E DTL/DETROIT LAKES MN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 90NM E/W /85SE YWG – 50SSW BJI/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 30045.

LAT…LON 48969324 46819334 46819778 48969787

THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.

Watch 511 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.

Note: Click for Complete Product Text.Tornadoes

Probability of 2 or more tornadoes

Mod (40%)

Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes

Low (20%)

Wind

Probability of 10 or more severe wind events

Mod (60%)

Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots

Mod (60%)

Hail

Probability of 10 or more severe hail events

Mod (60%)

Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches

Mod (60%)

Combined Severe Hail/Wind

Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events

High (>95%)

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), “Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.

July 25, 2026

SPC Tornado Watch 511 Status Reports

Source: US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Search by city or zip code. Press enter or select the go button to submit request
Local forecast by”City, St” or “ZIP”

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Watch 511 Status Reports

Watch 511 Status Message has not been issued yet.

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July 25, 2026

SPC MD 1722

Source: US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Mesoscale Discussion 1722
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0236 PM CDT Fri Jul 24 2026

Areas affected…northern North Dakota into northwest Minnesota.

Concerning…Severe potential…Watch possible

Valid 241936Z – 242100Z

Probability of Watch Issuance…60 percent

SUMMARY…A watch will likely be needed by later this afternoon.

DISCUSSION…Storms continue to develop along a differential heating
zone/outflow boundary across northern Minnesota and southern
Manitoba. Ongoing activity remains elevated, but CINH has started to
erode across northeast North Dakota where temperatures are in the
mid to upper 80s and dewpoints in the low to mid 70s. The southern
periphery of a mid-level jet streak has overspread northern North
Dakota with 45 to 50 knots being sampled around 6km by the MBX VAD.
Ascent associated with this mid-level jet streak is approaching the
region (as evidenced by mid-level ACCAS across north-central North
Dakota. As this ascent overspreads the uncapped airmass farther east
within the next 1 to 2 hours, expect surface-based storm
development.

Scattered storm development, including supercells, are expected
through the afternoon and into the evening with a threat for all
severe weather hazards. Most notably, very large hail is possible
given supercell storm mode, strong instability, strong shear, steep
lapse rates, and strong venting flow aloft. The greatest tornado
threat will likely be across far northeast North Dakota into
northern Minnesota where 70s F dewpoints are present, particularly
in vicinity of the differential heating boundary.

..Bentley/Smith.. 07/24/2026

…Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product…

ATTN…WFO…DLH…FGF…BIS…

LAT…LON 47810152 48400053 49029936 49129851 49149583 48959481
48629364 47909376 47149581 46849708 47209923 47410102
47810152

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY…85-110 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST…55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE…2.00-3.50 IN

July 25, 2026

SPC MD 1721

Source: US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Mesoscale Discussion 1721

Mesoscale Discussion 1721
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0202 PM CDT Fri Jul 24 2026

Areas affected…Southeast Idaho and portions of far northeast
Nevada and northwest Utah

Concerning…Severe potential…Watch unlikely

Valid 241902Z – 242100Z

Probability of Watch Issuance…20 percent

SUMMARY…Isolated thunderstorms capable of producing strong to
severe downburst winds will spread across southeast Idaho through
early evening. This threat will remain sufficiently limited to
preclude watch issuance.

DISCUSSION…Latest GOES imagery and lightning data show steady
vertical growth of cumulus and the early stages of convective
initiation across far northeast NV, northwest UT, and south-central
ID. Continued development is expected through mid-afternoon as
daytime heating and orographic ascent strengthens and any lingering
inhibition is eroded. Immediately downstream from this activity,
temperatures are warming into the mid 90s and low 100s with
dewpoints mixing into the upper 40s and low 50s. Although RAP
mesoanalyses suggests MLCAPE has only increased to around 500 J/kg,
modifying a recent 18 UTC LKN based on downstream observations
suggests MLCAPE has actually increased to around 1000 J/kg.
Consequently, a few robust thunderstorms will likely emerge in the
coming hours.

The potential for strong/severe downburst winds should increase as
this activity spreads into the hotter, more deeply mixed environment
air mass within the Snake River Plain – largely driven by the
propensity for downdraft accelerations through a ~3 km deep boundary
layer. This scenario is reflected in recent HRRR/RRFS solutions,
which depict the potential for downbursts winds on the order of
55-70 mph. Despite this potential, modest deep-layer wind shear
(sampled by the 18 UTC LKN sounding) suggests that storm modes will
most likely remain poorly organized and transient, which limits
confidence on the overall coverage/duration of the severe threat and
the need for watch issuance.

..Moore/Smith.. 07/24/2026

…Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product…

ATTN…WFO…SLC…PIH…BOI…LKN…

LAT…LON 41731501 42011522 42221534 42641526 42911499 44281208
44311167 44211138 44011124 43611113 43191115 42921135
42521186 41561452 41731501

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST…55-70 MPH

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